BBC Report on Iran’s Revolution

Yeah, Revolution

If the video jumps a bit, keep in mind that folks all around the planet are watching it, and it’s streamed to each of them from one site, through others like Wordout. Watch it all.

To the wonderful folks in Iran I want to say “Good Luck. Don’t falter. The costs of freedom are nothing compared to the costs of giving up. Keep the faith you know is real. You will win if you just don’t give up.”

Stay informed:
Constantly updated reports
this at YahooNews
This Blog From Inside Iran

Keys2Life

Running and Reading

I just twittermet an all-around nice guy with a fantastic site. (For all you tweeps out there, here’s where you can find @Dan Martell.)

Whether you tweet or not, you’ll want to click that 1st link. Especially if you’re interested in well-written, informed content about starting up and running your own company.

Dan’s done it. His thinking is clear and he knows how to write. I spent alot of time there when I found it.

When I’m deciding who to follow on twitter, I nearly always go to the site listed in the bio. When I got to Dan’s site, I found this video embedded in a post halfway down the page.

It’s Will Smith, and he’s actually got the 2 Keys to Life. Take 2 mins to listen. Check it out…

Running and Reading.

It is that simple. Run. Read. Repeat.

The 3 R’s.

Thanks, Dan. Looking forward to getting to know you.

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Live Free Or Die

Mark SteynMark Steyn

I don’t do this often, but sometimes I come across something that is so thought provocative and so well presented that to try to rewrite the ideas would be an injustice. If you don’t have the time, bookmark this post and come back later to read it. It’s not quick, and it’s not light.

But it’s definitely solid, and it is something you will want to think about.

Live Free or Die

MARK STEYN’S column appears in several newspapers, including the Washington Times, Philadelphia’s Evening Bulletin, and the Orange County Register. In addition, he writes for The New Criterion, Maclean’s in Canada, the Jerusalem Post, The Australian, and Hawke’s Bay Today in New Zealand. The author of National Review’s Happy Warrior column, he also blogs on National Review Online. He is the author of several books, including the best-selling America Alone: The End of The World as We Know It. Mr. Steyn teaches a two-week course in journalism at Hillsdale College during each spring semester.

The following is adapted from a lecture delivered at Hillsdale College on March 9, 2009.

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MY REMARKS are titled tonight after the words of General Stark, New Hampshire’s great hero of the Revolutionary War: “Live free or die!” When I first moved to New Hampshire, where this appears on our license plates, I assumed General Stark had said it before some battle or other—a bit of red meat to rally the boys for the charge; a touch of the old Henry V-at-Agincourt routine. But I soon discovered that the general had made his famous statement decades after the war, in a letter regretting that he would be unable to attend a dinner. And in a curious way I found that even more impressive. In extreme circumstances, many people can rouse themselves to rediscover the primal impulses: The brave men on Flight 93 did. They took off on what they thought was a routine business trip, and, when they realized it wasn’t, they went into General Stark mode and cried “Let’s roll!” But it’s harder to maintain the “Live free or die!” spirit when you’re facing not an immediate crisis but just a slow, remorseless, incremental, unceasing ratchet effect. “Live free or die!” sounds like a battle cry: We’ll win this thing or die trying, die an honorable death. But in fact it’s something far less dramatic: It’s a bald statement of the reality of our lives in the prosperous West. You can live as free men, but, if you choose not to, your society will die.

My book America Alone is often assumed to be about radical Islam, firebreathing imams, the excitable young men jumping up and down in the street doing the old “Death to the Great Satan” dance. It’s not. It’s about us. It’s about a possibly terminal manifestation of an old civilizational temptation: Indolence, as Machiavelli understood, is the greatest enemy of a republic. When I ran into trouble with the so-called “human rights” commissions up in Canada, it seemed bizarre to find the progressive left making common cause with radical Islam. One half of the alliance profess to be pro-gay, pro-feminist secularists; the other half are homophobic, misogynist theocrats. Even as the cheap bus ‘n’ truck road-tour version of the Hitler-Stalin Pact, it made no sense. But in fact what they have in common overrides their superficially more obvious incompatibilities: Both the secular Big Government progressives and political Islam recoil from the concept of the citizen, of the free individual entrusted to operate within his own societal space, assume his responsibilities, and exploit his potential.

In most of the developed world, the state has gradually annexed all the responsibilities of adulthood—health care, child care, care of the elderly—to the point where it’s effectively severed its citizens from humanity’s primal instincts, not least the survival instinct. Hillary Rodham Clinton said it takes a village to raise a child. It’s supposedly an African proverb—there is no record of anyone in Africa ever using this proverb, but let that pass. P.J. O’Rourke summed up that book superbly: It takes a village to raise a child. The government is the village, and you’re the child. Oh, and by the way, even if it did take a village to raise a child, I wouldn’t want it to be an African village. If you fly over West Africa at night, the lights form one giant coastal megalopolis: Not even Africans regard the African village as a useful societal model. But nor is the European village. Europe’s addiction to big government, unaffordable entitlements, cradle-to-grave welfare, and a dependence on mass immigration needed to sustain it has become an existential threat to some of the oldest nation-states in the world.

And now the last holdout, the United States, is embarking on the same grim path: After the President unveiled his budget, I heard Americans complain, oh, it’s another Jimmy Carter, or LBJ’s Great Society, or the new New Deal. You should be so lucky. Those nickel-and-dime comparisons barely begin to encompass the wholesale Europeanization that’s underway. The 44th president’s multi-trillion-dollar budget, the first of many, adds more to the national debt than all the previous 43 presidents combined, from George Washington to George Dubya. The President wants Europeanized health care, Europeanized daycare, Europeanized education, and, as the Europeans have discovered, even with Europeanized tax rates you can’t make that math add up. In Sweden, state spending accounts for 54% of GDP. In America, it was 34%—ten years ago. Today, it’s about 40%. In four years’ time, that number will be trending very Swede-like.

But forget the money, the deficit, the debt, the big numbers with the 12 zeroes on the end of them. So-called fiscal conservatives often miss the point. The problem isn’t the cost. These programs would still be wrong even if Bill Gates wrote a check to cover them each month. They’re wrong because they deform the relationship between the citizen and the state. Even if there were no financial consequences, the moral and even spiritual consequences would still be fatal. That’s the stage where Europe is.

America is just beginning this process. I looked at the rankings in Freedom in the 50 States published by George Mason University last month. New Hampshire came in Number One, the Freest State in the Nation, which all but certainly makes it the freest jurisdiction in the Western world. Which kind of depressed me. Because the Granite State feels less free to me than it did when I moved there, and you always hope there’s somewhere else out there just in case things go belly up and you have to hit the road. And way down at the bottom in the last five places were Maryland, California, Rhode Island, New Jersey, and the least free state in the Union by some distance, New York.

New York! How does the song go? “If you can make it there, you’ll make it anywhere!” If you can make it there, you’re some kind of genius. “This is the worst fiscal downturn since the Great Depression,” announced Governor Paterson a few weeks ago. So what’s he doing? He’s bringing in the biggest tax hike in New York history. If you can make it there, he can take it there—via state tax, sales tax, municipal tax, a doubled beer tax, a tax on clothing, a tax on cab rides, an “iTunes tax,” a tax on haircuts, 137 new tax hikes in all. Call 1-800-I-HEART-NEW-YORK today and order your new package of state tax forms, for just $199.99, plus the 12% tax on tax forms and the 4% tax form application fee partially refundable upon payment of the 7.5% tax filing tax. If you can make it there, you’ll certainly have no difficulty making it in Tajikistan.

New York, California… These are the great iconic American states, the ones we foreigners have heard of. To a penniless immigrant called Arnold Schwarzenegger, California was a land of plenty. Now Arnold is an immigrant of plenty in a penniless land: That’s not an improvement. One of his predecessors as governor of California, Ronald Reagan, famously said, “We are a nation that has a government, not the other way around.” In California, it’s now the other way around: California is increasingly a government that has a state. And it is still in the early stages of the process. California has thirtysomething million people. The Province of Quebec has seven million people. Yet California and Quebec have roughly the same number of government workers. “There is a great deal of ruin in a nation,” said Adam Smith, and America still has a long way to go. But it’s better to jump off the train as you’re leaving the station and it’s still picking up speed than when it’s roaring down the track and you realize you’ve got a one-way ticket on the Oblivion Express.

“Indolence,” in Machiavelli’s word: There are stages to the enervation of free peoples. America, which held out against the trend, is now at Stage One: The benign paternalist state promises to make all those worries about mortgages, debt, and health care disappear. Every night of the week, you can switch on the TV and see one of these ersatz “town meetings” in which freeborn citizens of the republic (I use the term loosely) petition the Sovereign to make all the bad stuff go away. “I have an urgent need,” a lady in Fort Myers beseeched the President. “We need a home, our own kitchen, our own bathroom.” He took her name and ordered his staff to meet with her. Hopefully, he didn’t insult her by dispatching some no-name deputy assistant associate secretary of whatever instead of flying in one of the bigtime tax-avoiding cabinet honchos to nationalize a Florida bank and convert one of its branches into a desirable family residence, with a swing set hanging where the drive-thru ATM used to be.

As all of you know, Hillsdale College takes no federal or state monies. That used to make it an anomaly in American education. It’s in danger of becoming an anomaly in America, period. Maybe it’s time for Hillsdale College to launch the Hillsdale Insurance Agency, the Hillsdale Motor Company and the First National Bank of Hillsdale. The executive supremo at Bank of America is now saying, oh, if only he’d known what he knows now, he wouldn’t have taken the government money. Apparently it comes with strings attached. Who knew? Sure, Hillsdale College did, but nobody else.

If you’re a business, when government gives you 2% of your income, it has a veto on 100% of what you do. If you’re an individual, the impact is even starker. Once you have government health care, it can be used to justify almost any restraint on freedom: After all, if the state has to cure you, it surely has an interest in preventing you needing treatment in the first place. That’s the argument behind, for example, mandatory motorcycle helmets, or the creepy teams of government nutritionists currently going door to door in Britain and conducting a “health audit” of the contents of your refrigerator. They’re not yet confiscating your Twinkies; they just want to take a census of how many you have. So you do all this for the “free” health care—and in the end you may not get the “free” health care anyway. Under Britain’s National Health Service, for example, smokers in Manchester have been denied treatment for heart disease, and the obese in Suffolk are refused hip and knee replacements. Patricia Hewitt, the British Health Secretary, says that it’s appropriate to decline treatment on the basis of “lifestyle choices.” Smokers and the obese may look at their gay neighbor having unprotected sex with multiple partners, and wonder why his “lifestyle choices” get a pass while theirs don’t. But that’s the point: Tyranny is always whimsical.

And if they can’t get you on grounds of your personal health, they’ll do it on grounds of planetary health. Not so long ago in Britain it was proposed that each citizen should have a government-approved travel allowance. If you take one flight a year, you’ll pay just the standard amount of tax on the journey. But, if you travel more frequently, if you take a second or third flight, you’ll be subject to additional levies—in the interest of saving the planet for Al Gore’s polar bear documentaries and that carbon-offset palace he lives in in Tennessee.

Isn’t this the very definition of totalitarianism-lite? The Soviets restricted the movement of people through the bureaucratic apparatus of “exit visas.” The British are proposing to do it through the bureaucratic apparatus of exit taxes—indeed, the bluntest form of regressive taxation. As with the Communists, the nomenklatura—the Prince of Wales, Al Gore, Madonna—will still be able to jet about hither and yon. What’s a 20% surcharge to them? Especially as those for whom vast amounts of air travel are deemed essential—government officials, heads of NGOs, environmental activists—will no doubt be exempted from having to pay the extra amount. But the ghastly masses will have to stay home.

“Freedom of movement” used to be regarded as a bedrock freedom. The movement is still free, but there’s now a government processing fee of $389.95. And the interesting thing about this proposal was that it came not from the Labour Party but the Conservative Party.

That’s Stage Two of societal enervation—when the state as guarantor of all your basic needs becomes increasingly comfortable with regulating your behavior. Free peoples who were once willing to give their lives for liberty can be persuaded very quickly to relinquish their liberties for a quiet life. When President Bush talked about promoting democracy in the Middle East, there was a phrase he liked to use: “Freedom is the desire of every human heart.” Really? It’s unclear whether that’s really the case in Gaza and the Pakistani tribal lands. But it’s absolutely certain that it’s not the case in Berlin and Paris, Stockholm and London, New Orleans and Buffalo. The story of the Western world since 1945 is that, invited to choose between freedom and government “security,” large numbers of people vote to dump freedom every time—the freedom to make your own decisions about health care, education, property rights, and a ton of other stuff. It’s ridiculous for grown men and women to say: I want to be able to choose from hundreds of cereals at the supermarket, thousands of movies from Netflix, millions of songs to play on my iPod—but I want the government to choose for me when it comes to my health care. A nation that demands the government take care of all the grown-up stuff is a nation turning into the world’s wrinkliest adolescent, free only to choose its record collection.

And don’t be too sure you’ll get to choose your record collection in the end. That’s Stage Three: When the populace has agreed to become wards of the state, it’s a mere difference of degree to start regulating their thoughts. When my anglophone friends in the Province of Quebec used to complain about the lack of English signs in Quebec hospitals, my response was that, if you allow the government to be the sole provider of health care, why be surprised that they’re allowed to decide the language they’ll give it in? But, as I’ve learned during my year in the hellhole of Canadian “human rights” law, that’s true in a broader sense. In the interests of “cultural protection,” the Canadian state keeps foreign newspaper owners, foreign TV operators, and foreign bookstore owners out of Canada. Why shouldn’t it, in return, assume the right to police the ideas disseminated through those newspapers, bookstores and TV networks it graciously agrees to permit?

When Maclean’s magazine and I were hauled up in 2007 for the crime of “flagrant Islamophobia,” it quickly became very clear that, for members of a profession that brags about its “courage” incessantly (far more than, say, firemen do), an awful lot of journalists are quite content to be the eunuchs in the politically correct harem. A distressing number of Western journalists see no conflict between attending lunches for World Press Freedom Day every month and agreeing to be micro-regulated by the state. The big problem for those of us arguing for classical liberalism is that in modern Canada there’s hardly anything left that isn’t on the state dripfeed to one degree or another: Too many of the institutions healthy societies traditionally look to as outposts of independent thought—churches, private schools, literature, the arts, the media—either have an ambiguous relationship with government or are downright dependent on it. Up north, “intellectual freedom” means the relevant film-funding agency—Cinedole Canada or whatever it’s called—gives you a check to enable you to continue making so-called “bold, brave, transgressive” films that discombobulate state power not a whit.

And then comes Stage Four, in which dissenting ideas and even words are labeled as “hatred.” In effect, the language itself becomes a means of control. Despite the smiley-face banalities, the tyranny becomes more naked: In Britain, a land with rampant property crime, undercover constables nevertheless find time to dine at curry restaurants on Friday nights to monitor adjoining tables lest someone in private conversation should make a racist remark. An author interviewed on BBC Radio expressed, very mildly and politely, some concerns about gay adoption and was investigated by Scotland Yard’s Community Safety Unit for Homophobic, Racist and Domestic Incidents. A Daily Telegraph columnist is arrested and detained in a jail cell over a joke in a speech. A Dutch legislator is invited to speak at the Palace of Westminster by a member of the House of Lords, but is banned by the government, arrested on arrival at Heathrow and deported.

America, Britain, and even Canada are not peripheral nations: They’re the three anglophone members of the G7. They’re three of a handful of countries that were on the right side of all the great conflicts of the last century. But individual liberty flickers dimmer in each of them. The massive expansion of government under the laughable euphemism of “stimulus” (Stage One) comes with a quid pro quo down the line (Stage Two): Once you accept you’re a child in the government nursery, why shouldn’t Nanny tell you what to do? And then—Stage Three—what to think? And—Stage Four—what you’re forbidden to think . . . .

Which brings us to the final stage: As I said at the beginning, Big Government isn’t about the money. It’s more profound than that. A couple of years back Paul Krugman wrote a column in The New York Times asserting that, while parochial American conservatives drone on about “family values,” the Europeans live it, enacting policies that are more “family friendly.” On the Continent, claims the professor, “government regulations actually allow people to make a desirable tradeoff-to modestly lower income in return for more time with friends and family.”

As befits a distinguished economist, Professor Krugman failed to notice that for a continent of “family friendly” policies, Europe is remarkably short of families. While America’s fertility rate is more or less at replacement level—2.1—seventeen European nations are at what demographers call “lowest-low” fertility—1.3 or less—a rate from which no society in human history has ever recovered. Germans, Spaniards, Italians and Greeks have upside-down family trees: four grandparents have two children and one grandchild. How can an economist analyze “family friendly” policies without noticing that the upshot of these policies is that nobody has any families?

As for all that extra time, what happened? Europeans work fewer hours than Americans, they don’t have to pay for their own health care, they’re post-Christian so they don’t go to church, they don’t marry and they don’t have kids to take to school and basketball and the 4-H stand at the county fair. So what do they do with all the time?

Forget for the moment Europe’s lack of world-beating companies: They regard capitalism as an Anglo-American fetish, and they mostly despise it. But what about the things Europeans supposedly value? With so much free time, where is the great European art? Where are Europe’s men of science? At American universities. Meanwhile, Continental governments pour fortunes into prestigious white elephants of Euro-identity, like the Airbus A380, capable of carrying 500, 800, a thousand passengers at a time, if only somebody somewhere would order the darn thing, which they might consider doing once all the airports have built new runways to handle it.

“Give people plenty and security, and they will fall into spiritual torpor,” wrote Charles Murray in In Our Hands. “When life becomes an extended picnic, with nothing of importance to do, ideas of greatness become an irritant. Such is the nature of the Europe syndrome.”

The key word here is “give.” When the state “gives” you plenty—when it takes care of your health, takes cares of your kids, takes care of your elderly parents, takes care of every primary responsibility of adulthood—it’s not surprising that the citizenry cease to function as adults: Life becomes a kind of extended adolescence—literally so for those Germans who’ve mastered the knack of staying in education till they’re 34 and taking early retirement at 42. Hilaire Belloc, incidentally, foresaw this very clearly in his book The Servile State in 1912. He understood that the long-term cost of a welfare society is the infantilization of the population.

Genteel decline can be very agreeable—initially: You still have terrific restaurants, beautiful buildings, a great opera house. And once the pressure’s off it’s nice to linger at the sidewalk table, have a second café au lait and a pain au chocolat, and watch the world go by. At the Munich Security Conference in February, President Sarkozy demanded of his fellow Continentals, “Does Europe want peace, or do we want to be left in peace?” To pose the question is to answer it. Alas, it only works for a generation or two. And it’s hard to come up with a wake-up call for a society as dedicated as latterday Europe to the belief that life is about sleeping in.

As Gerald Ford liked to say when trying to ingratiate himself with conservative audiences, “A government big enough to give you everything you want is big enough to take away everything you have.” And that’s true. But there’s an intermediate stage: A government big enough to give you everything you want isn’t big enough to get you to give any of it back. That’s the position European governments find themselves in. Their citizens have become hooked on unaffordable levels of social programs which in the end will put those countries out of business. Just to get the Social Security debate in perspective, projected public pension liabilities are expected to rise by 2040 to about 6.8% of GDP in the U.S. In Greece, the figure is 25%—i.e., total societal collapse. So what? shrug the voters. Not my problem. I want my benefits. The crisis isn’t the lack of money, but the lack of citizens—in the meaningful sense of that word.

Every Democrat running for election tells you they want to do this or that “for the children.” If America really wanted to do something “for the children,” it could try not to make the same mistake as most of the rest of the Western world and avoid bequeathing the next generation a leviathan of bloated bureaucracy and unsustainable entitlements that turns the entire nation into a giant Ponzi scheme. That’s the real “war on children” (to use another Democrat catchphrase)—and every time you bulk up the budget you make it less and less likely they’ll win it.

Conservatives often talk about “small government,” which, in a sense, is framing the issue in leftist terms: they’re for big government. But small government gives you big freedoms—and big government leaves you with very little freedom. The bailout and the stimulus and the budget and the trillion-dollar deficits are not merely massive transfers from the most dynamic and productive sector to the least dynamic and productive. When governments annex a huge chunk of the economy, they also annex a huge chunk of individual liberty. You fundamentally change the relationship between the citizen and the state into something closer to that of junkie and pusher—and you make it very difficult ever to change back. Americans face a choice: They can rediscover the animating principles of the American idea—of limited government, a self-reliant citizenry, and the opportunities to exploit your talents to the fullest—or they can join most of the rest of the Western world in terminal decline. To rekindle the spark of liberty once it dies is very difficult. The inertia, the ennui, the fatalism is more pathetic than the demographic decline and fiscal profligacy of the social democratic state, because it’s subtler and less tangible. But once in a while it swims into very sharp focus. Here is the writer Oscar van den Boogaard from an interview with the Belgian paper De Standaard. Mr. van den Boogaard, a Dutch gay “humanist” (which is pretty much the trifecta of Eurocool), was reflecting on the accelerating Islamification of the Continent and concluding that the jig was up for the Europe he loved. “I am not a warrior, but who is?” he shrugged. “I have never learned to fight for my freedom. I was only good at enjoying it.” In the famous Kubler-Ross five stages of grief, Mr. van den Boogard is past denial, anger, bargaining and depression, and has arrived at a kind of acceptance.

“I have never learned to fight for my freedom. I was only good at enjoying it.” Sorry, doesn’t work—not for long. Back in New Hampshire, General Stark knew that. Mr. van den Boogard’s words are an epitaph for Europe. Whereas New Hampshire’s motto—”Live free or die!”—is still the greatest rallying cry for this state or any other. About a year ago, there was a picture in the papers of Iranian students demonstrating in Tehran and waving placards. And what they’d written on those placards was: “Live free or die!” They understand the power of those words; so should we.

Copyright © 2008 Hillsdale College. The opinions expressed in Imprimis are not necessarily the views of Hillsdale College. Permission to reprint in whole or in part is hereby granted, provided the following credit line is used: “Reprinted by permission from Imprimis, a publication of Hillsdale College.”

The Ultimate Reboot

Trends

Juan Enriquez talks briefly about the economy and three trends gaining momentum over the past couple of decades. Cell engineering, tissue engineering and robot design are three trends leading to what he calls The Ultimate Reboot.

Highly recommended video about what’s going on NOW and where that leads us:

How old are you? Well, the real question is – how much longer will you live?

If you can make it about another 30 years, you just might be able to extend it another few hundred. You might become one of the first of the homo evolutis, the first batch of humans to marry themselves inextricably to their technology.

Ray Kurzweil, in The Law Of Accelerating Returns says (emphasis mine):

An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential, contrary to the common-sense “intuitive linear” view. So we won’t experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century — it will be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today’s rate). The “returns,” such as chip speed and cost-effectiveness, also increase exponentially. There’s even exponential growth in the rate of exponential growth. Within a few decades, machine intelligence will surpass human intelligence, leading to The Singularity — technological change so rapid and profound it represents a rupture in the fabric of human history. The implications include the merger of biological and nonbiological intelligence, immortal software-based humans, and ultra-high levels of intelligence that expand outward in the universe at the speed of light.

Click through to Kurzweil’s Wikipedia page – really fascinating life.

I am Jon. Resistance is futile.

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Dumbass Testifies Before Congress

Embarrasses Physicists Everywhere

Thanks to EarthFirst.com for pointing out this testimony before Congress. This guy is Princeton physicist William Happer (physicists know sooo much about the climate, right?), the same spud that chairs the Board of Directors of the George C. Marshall Institute. The Marshall Institute is funded ‘partially’ by Exxon and American Standard…

All I can say is that this asshole must have no soul. He certainly doesn’t appear to worry about whether he does or not. Then again, maybe that’s not a bad thing.

From Treehugger.com:

Are we not yet past the point where the “A List” of climate change experts parading before Congress includes people with such fantastic ideas and foolish outlooks? Apparently not. And that’s a good thing.

Get that fellow up on the Hill a bunch more times. Play him on prime time news, over and over. Get him on the David Letterman Show talking about how lovely things were back in the Pleistocene. (I’m pretty sure he said “Pleistocene;” even thought that does not match up at all with the 80 million years ago answer he provided to Senator Boxer regarding the time to which he referred. Is that what you heard?)

I am Jon, and yes, I have been called a dinosaur.

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Victoria Burning

Australian Heat Wave

Many of us here in the US don’t follow the weather overseas. Australia is going through one of its worst droughts on record at the same time as a record-setting heat wave.

And they’ve caught fire.

From TheTimesOnline:

The fires began on the hottest day ever recorded in Melbourne and were fanned by gale-force winds. Many of the dead were said to have waited too long in their homes before fleeing and were burnt alive in their cars as multiple fires tore through the countryside of Victoria state. Some of the blazes were set by arsonists.

Witnesses said the sky had turned to ash, began to rain embers and the fires which obliterated entire houses in seconds had turned parts of the picturesque Victorian countryside into something resembling a nuclear holocaust.

Cars became tombs as people tragically tried to out-run the flames. Others made lucky escapes by diving into dams and local reservoirs. One group broke into a local pub to seek refuge in the cool room until the blaze had passed.

[…]

Described as “hell on earth”, the bushfires began on Saturday amid record-breaking temperatures as the mercury hit 46.4C, Melbourne’s hottest day on record. The fires left a trail of death and destruction across the state, burning through 350,000 hectares (1,350 square miles). Fifty fires also began burning across the border in New South Wales, where temperatures reached 46C on Sunday.

The Australian Army was called in to assist the thousands of weary firefighters who battled the blazes over the weekend, and the government announced a $10 million (£4.5 million) emergency relief fund as well as immediate $1,000 cash grants to help the thousands of Victorians now left homeless. The fires are now officially the worst in Australia’s history, surpassing the death toll of the Ash Wednesday fires which claimed 76 lives when they tore through Victoria and South Australia in February, 1983.

For those of us who are Celsius-challenged, 46C is about 115F.

I am Jon, always looking forward to something.

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Thanks to TreeHugger

When In The Course…

(edited)
Of Human Events

HCR 6 is a resolution introduced in New Hapshire to, uhmm – CLARIFY – the state’s position on The US Constitution, The US Federal Government, and the several states’ relationships with each other. It makes for a very interesting read, even if it is legalese. I hope you’ll read through it, slowly and maybe even a couple of times.

This is a big step for a state government to take.


HCR 6 – AS INTRODUCED

2009 SESSION

09-0274

09/01

HOUSE CONCURRENT RESOLUTION 6

A RESOLUTION affirming States’ rights based on Jeffersonian principles.

SPONSORS: Rep. Itse, Rock 9; Rep. Ingbretson, Graf 5; Rep. Comerford, Rock 9; Sen. Denley, Dist 3

COMMITTEE: State-Federal Relations and Veterans Affairs

ANALYSIS

This house concurrent resolution affirms States’ rights based on Jeffersonian principles.

09-0274

09/01

STATE OF NEW HAMPSHIRE

In the Year of Our Lord Two Thousand Nine

A RESOLUTION affirming States’ rights based on Jeffersonian principles.

Whereas the Constitution of the State of New Hampshire, Part 1, Article 7 declares that the people of this State have the sole and exclusive right of governing themselves as a free, sovereign, and independent State; and do, and forever hereafter shall, exercise and enjoy every power, jurisdiction, and right, pertaining thereto, which is not, or may not hereafter be, by them expressly delegated to the United States of America in congress assembled; and

Whereas the Constitution of the State of New Hampshire, Part 2, Article 1 declares that the people inhabiting the territory formerly called the province of New Hampshire, do hereby solemnly and mutually agree with each other, to form themselves into a free, sovereign and independent body-politic, or State, by the name of The State of New Hampshire; and

Whereas the State of New Hampshire when ratifying the Constitution for the United States of America recommended as a change, “First That it be Explicitly declared that all Powers not expressly & particularly Delegated by the aforesaid are reserved to the several States to be, by them Exercised;” and

Whereas the other States that included recommendations, to wit Massachusetts, New York, North Carolina, Rhode Island and Virginia, included an identical or similar recommended change; and

Whereas these recommended changes were incorporated as the ninth amendment, the enumeration in the Constitution, of certain rights, shall not be construed to deny or disparage others retained by the people, and the tenth amendment, the powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people, to the Constitution for the United States of America; now, therefore, be it

Resolved by the House of Representatives, the Senate concurring:

That the several States composing the United States of America, are not united on the principle of unlimited submission to their General Government; but that, by a compact under the style and title of a Constitution for the United States, and of amendments thereto, they constituted a General Government for special purposes, — delegated to that government certain definite powers, reserving, each State to itself, the residuary mass of right to their own self-government; and that whensoever the General Government assumes undelegated powers, its acts are unauthoritative, void, and of no force; that to this compact each State acceded as a State, and is an integral party, its co-States forming, as to itself, the other party: that the government created by this compact was not made the exclusive or final judge of the extent of the powers delegated to itself; since that would have made its discretion, and not the Constitution, the measure of its powers; but that, as in all other cases of compact among powers having no common judge, each party has an equal right to judge for itself, as well of infractions as of the mode and measure of redress; and

That the Constitution of the United States, having delegated to Congress a power to punish treason, counterfeiting the securities and current coin of the United States, piracies, and felonies committed on the high seas, and offences against the law of nations, slavery, and no other crimes whatsoever; and it being true as a general principle, and one of the amendments to the Constitution having also declared, that “the powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people,” therefore all acts of Congress which assume to create, define, or punish crimes, other than those so enumerated in the Constitution are altogether void, and of no force; and that the power to create, define, and punish such other crimes is reserved, and, of right, appertains solely and exclusively to the respective States, each within its own territory; and

That it is true as a general principle, and is also expressly declared by one of the amendments to the Constitution, that “the powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people;” and that no power over the freedom of religion, freedom of speech, or freedom of the press being delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, all lawful powers respecting the same did of right remain, and were reserved to the States or the people: that thus was manifested their determination to retain to themselves the right of judging how far the licentiousness of speech and of the press may be abridged without lessening their useful freedom, and how far those abuses which cannot be separated from their use should be tolerated, rather than the use be destroyed. And thus also they guarded against all abridgment by the United States of the freedom of religious opinions and exercises, and retained to themselves the right of protecting the same. And that in addition to this general principle and express declaration, another and more special provision has been made by one of the amendments to the Constitution, which expressly declares, that “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof, or abridging the freedom of speech or of the press:” thereby guarding in the same sentence, and under the same words, the freedom of religion, of speech, and of the press: insomuch, that whatever violated either, throws down the sanctuary which covers the others, and that libels, falsehood, and defamation, equally with heresy and false religion, are withheld from the cognizance of federal tribunals. That, therefore, all acts of Congress of the United States which do abridge the freedom of religion, freedom of speech, freedom of the press, are not law, but are altogether void, and of no force; and

That the construction applied by the General Government (as is evidenced by sundry of their proceedings) to those parts of the Constitution of the United States which delegate to Congress a power “to lay and collect taxes, duties, imports, and excises, to pay the debts, and provide for the common defense and general welfare of the United States,” and “to make all laws which shall be necessary and proper for carrying into execution the powers vested by the Constitution in the government of the United States, or in any department or officer thereof,” goes to the destruction of all limits prescribed to their power by the Constitution: that words meant by the instrument to be subsidiary only to the execution of limited powers, ought not to be so construed as themselves to give unlimited powers, nor a part to be so taken as to destroy the whole residue of that instrument: that the proceedings of the General Government under color of these articles, will be a fit and necessary subject of revisal and correction; and

That a committee of conference and correspondence be appointed, which shall have as its charge to communicate the preceding resolutions to the Legislatures of the several States; to assure them that this State continues in the same esteem of their friendship and union which it has manifested from that moment at which a common danger first suggested a common union: that it considers union, for specified national purposes, and particularly to those specified in their federal compact, to be friendly to the peace, happiness and prosperity of all the States: that faithful to that compact, according to the plain intent and meaning in which it was understood and acceded to by the several parties, it is sincerely anxious for its preservation: that it does also believe, that to take from the States all the powers of self-government and transfer them to a general and consolidated government, without regard to the special delegations and reservations solemnly agreed to in that compact, is not for the peace, happiness or prosperity of these States; and that therefore this State is determined, as it doubts not its co-States are, to submit to undelegated, and consequently unlimited powers in no man, or body of men on earth: that in cases of an abuse of the delegated powers, the members of the General Government, being chosen by the people, a change by the people would be the constitutional remedy; but, where powers are assumed which have not been delegated, a nullification of the act is the rightful remedy: that every State has a natural right in cases not within the compact, (casus non foederis), to nullify of their own authority all assumptions of power by others within their limits: that without this right, they would be under the dominion, absolute and unlimited, of whosoever might exercise this right of judgment for them: that nevertheless, this State, from motives of regard and respect for its co-States, has wished to communicate with them on the subject: that with them alone it is proper to communicate, they alone being parties to the compact, and solely authorized to judge in the last resort of the powers exercised under it, Congress being not a party, but merely the creature of the compact, and subject as to its assumptions of power to the final judgment of those by whom, and for whose use itself and its powers were all created and modified: that if the acts before specified should stand, these conclusions would flow from them: that it would be a dangerous delusion were a confidence in the men of our choice to silence our fears for the safety of our rights: that confidence is everywhere the parent of despotism — free government is founded in jealousy, and not in confidence; it is jealousy and not confidence which prescribes limited constitutions, to bind down those whom we are obliged to trust with power: that our Constitution has accordingly fixed the limits to which, and no further, our confidence may go. In questions of power, then, let no more be heard of confidence in man, but bind him down from mischief by the chains of the Constitution. That this State does therefore call on its co-States for an expression of their sentiments on acts not authorized by the federal compact. And it doubts not that their sense will be so announced as to prove their attachment unaltered to limited government, whether general or particular. And that the rights and liberties of their co-States will be exposed to no dangers by remaining embarked in a common bottom with their own. That they will concur with this State in considering acts as so palpably against the Constitution as to amount to an undisguised declaration that that compact is not meant to be the measure of the powers of the General Government, but that it will proceed in the exercise over these States, of all powers whatsoever: that they will view this as seizing the rights of the States, and consolidating them in the hands of the General Government, with a power assumed to bind the States, not merely as the cases made federal, (casus foederis,) but in all cases whatsoever, by laws made, not with their consent, but by others against their consent: that this would be to surrender the form of government we have chosen, and live under one deriving its powers from its own will, and not from our authority; and that the co-States, recurring to their natural right in cases not made federal, will concur in declaring these acts void, and of no force, and will each take measures of its own for providing that neither these acts, nor any others of the General Government not plainly and intentionally authorized by the Constitution, shall be exercised within their respective territories; and

That the said committee be authorized to communicate by writing or personal conferences, at any times or places whatever, with any person or person who may be appointed by any one or more co-States to correspond or confer with them; and that they lay their proceedings before the next session of the General Court; and

That any Act by the Congress of the United States, Executive Order of the President of the United States of America or Judicial Order by the Judicatories of the United States of America which assumes a power not delegated to the government of United States of America by the Constitution for the United States of America and which serves to diminish the liberty of the any of the several States or their citizens shall constitute a nullification of the Constitution for the United States of America by the government of the United States of America. Acts which would cause such a nullification include, but are not limited to:

I. Establishing martial law or a state of emergency within one of the States comprising the United States of America without the consent of the legislature of that State.

II. Requiring involuntary servitude, or governmental service other than a draft during a declared war, or pursuant to, or as an alternative to, incarceration after due process of law.

III. Requiring involuntary servitude or governmental service of persons under the age of 18 other than pursuant to, or as an alternative to, incarceration after due process of law.

IV. Surrendering any power delegated or not delegated to any corporation or foreign government.

V. Any act regarding religion; further limitations on freedom of political speech; or further limitations on freedom of the press.

VI. Further infringements on the right to keep and bear arms including prohibitions of type or quantity of arms or ammunition; and

That should any such act of Congress become law or Executive Order or Judicial Order be put into force, all powers previously delegated to the United States of America by the Constitution for the United States shall revert to the several States individually. Any future government of the United States of America shall require ratification of three quarters of the States seeking to form a government of the United States of America and shall not be binding upon any State not seeking to form such a government; and

That copies of this resolution be transmitted by the house clerk to the President of the United States, each member of the United States Congress, and the presiding officers of each State’s legislature.

Thanks to Karl Denninger at The Market Ticker.

I am Jon, a citizen of The Sovereign State of North Carolina.

Stretching

2 By 2

lung cancer among branchesImage by sara b. | 2009 via Flickr

Inches, That Is…

Regular readers here @ Wordout will recognize that I haven’t been publishing anything lately. You’ll also remember that I’ve been fighting an illness for quite awhile. The two are related.

Last week I was diagnosed with lung cancer. The cancer seems to be about 2 inches by 2 inches (4.5cm X 5cm), as measured using the CT scan. The lymph nodes in my lungs appear to be clear and healthy, which is a great sign that it may not have spread yet. More test results are required to verify that it’s still only in the lung. I will have those results next week, after the biopsy has been done.

So far I’ve been through the xrays, the CT scans, the PET scan and an MRI on my brain. Next week I will be laying on a table quietly while a doctor punctures my chest with a huge honkin’ needle to withdraw some of the mass for direct observation. A couple of days after that I’ll be able to know exactly how bad the situation is.

Only then will I know what treatment options are available. Right now, it appears that I will either 1) Be a good candidate for surgery or 2) Have no options at all.

Either way, I am alive today.

I’ve done a bit of reading, and here’s a couple of excerpts and links for you, in case you’re interested.

National Cancer Institute

Survival rates can be calculated by different methods for different purposes. The survival rates presented here are based on the relative survival rate which measures the survival of the cancer patients in comparison to the general population to estimate the effect of cancer. The overall 5-year relative survival rate for 1996-2004 from 17 SEER geographic areas was 15.2%. Five-year relative survival rates by race and sex were: 13.4% for white men; 17.9% for white women; 10.4% for black men; 14.5% for black women.

The stage distribution based on historic stage shows that 16% of lung and bronchus cancer cases are diagnosed while the cancer is still confined to the primary site (localized stage); 25% are diagnosed after the cancer has spread to regional lymphnodes or directly beyond the primary site; 51% are diagnosed after the cancer has already metastasized (distant stage) and for the remaining 8% the staging information was unknown. The corresponding 5-year relative survival rates were: 49.5% for localized; 20.6% for regional; 2.8% for distant; and 8.3% for unstaged.(See Fast Stats for more detailed statistics)

Mayo Clinic

Fluid in the chest (pleural effusion). Lung cancer can cause fluid to accumulate in the space that surrounds the lungs in the chest cavity (pleural space). Pleural effusion can result from cancer spreading outside the lungs or in reaction to lung cancer inside the lungs. Fluid accumulating in the chest can cause shortness of breath. Treatments are available to drain the fluid from your chest and reduce the risk that pleural effusion will occur again. Cancer that spreads to the pleura is considered inoperable, so surgery isn’t an option for treatment.

Cancer that spreads to other parts of the body (metastasis). Lung cancer often spreads (metastasizes) to other parts of the body — most commonly the opposite lung, brain, bones, liver and adrenal glands. Cancer that spreads can cause signs and symptoms, including pain, nausea, headaches or others based on what organ is affected. In some cases, treatments are available for isolated metastasis, but in most cases, the goal of treatment for metastasis is only to relieve signs and symptoms.

Death. Unfortunately, survival rates haven’t improved for people diagnosed with lung cancer. In most cases, the disease is fatal. Almost 60 percent, or three out of every five people, diagnosed with lung cancer die within a year. Keep in mind, however, that this number includes people diagnosed with all types of lung cancer at all stages of the disease. People diagnosed at the earliest stages have the greatest chances for a cure. Your doctor can discuss more relevant statistics about your chances for survival with you.

No Doubt

There is no doubt that my lung cancer is caused by excessive smoking. I could spend my time doing the ‘If Only…’ and that time would be wasted, so I’m not doing that. It’s too late to change that past and as stubborn as I am, I probably wouldn’t change it anyway. I bought the ticket, and that train is never late.

But look – it’s not too late for you to stop. If you’re smoking, it’s like making payments for your own ticket. Ask yourself: Is that the (one way) trip I really want to take? Look around you. Are these the people you want to watch you die?

I am Jon. Put out that damned cigarette.

Image 14

REINING IN THE IMPERIAL PRESIDENCY

This is the table of contents. For the full pdf text of the report, click HERE.

REINING IN THE IMPERIAL PRESIDENCY

Lessons and Recommendations Relating to
the Presidency of George W. Bush

House Committee on the Judiciary Majority Staff Report to
Chairman John Conyers, Jr.

January 13, 2009

Foreword . . 9
Executive Summary . . 16
Preface: Deconstructing the Imperial Presidency . . . 24
The September 25, 2001, War Powers Memorandum . . . 27
Critique of John Yoo’s Flawed Theory of Presidential Supremacy . . 32
The Need for a Judiciary Committee Staff Report . . 40

Section 1 – Politicization of the Department of Justice . . . 41
I. Politicization of the Prosecution Function. . . 43
A. Hiring and Firing of U.S. Attorneys and other Department Personnel . . 43
B. Selective Prosecution . . . 50
II. Politicization of the Civil Rights Division . . . 54
A. Factual Background . . . 54
B. Committee Actions . . . 56
III. Findings . . . . . . . . . 63
Politicization of the Prosecution Function . . . . 63
Politicization of the Civil Rights Division and Voting Rights Enforcement . . . 69

Section 2 – Assault on Individual Liberty:
Detention, Enhanced Interrogation, Ghosting and Black Sites, Extraordinary
Rendition, Warrantless Domestic Surveillance, and National Security and Exigent Letters. . . 72
I. Detention . . 74
A. Factual Background . . . 74
November 2001 Decision to Try Detainees, Including U.S. Citizens, in Military Commissions . . . 75
December 2001 Decision to Hold Detainees at Guantanamo . . . 78
The Administration’s Public Defense of Its Guantanamo Policies . . . 78
B. The Bush Administration’s Detention Policies in the Courts . . . 81
The President’s Power to Detain an American Citizen Captured in Afghanistan Without Judicial Review (Hamdi) . . . 81
The President’s Power to Establish Military Commissions to Determine Validity of Detention (Hamdan) . . . 85
The President’s Power to Order Detention of Persons Without Access to Federal Courts – Rasul and Boumediene . . . 87
The President’s Power to Order the Military Detention of an American Citizen Seized by Civilian Authorities in the United States (Padilla) . . . 89
The President’s Power to Order Military Detention of Lawfully Admitted Alien Seized by Civilian Authorities in the United States (al-Marri) . . . . 103
C. Committee Action . . . 107
II. Interrogation . . . 110
A. Factual Background . . . 110
December 2001toFebruary 2002 – Determinations That the Protections of the Geneva Conventions, Including Common Article III, Do Not Apply to Guantanamo Detainees . . . 110
The August 1, 2002 Torture Memorandum . . . 112
August 1, 2002 – Waterboarding Approved for CIA Use . . . 114
October 2002 to March 2003 – Development of Techniques for Use at Guantanamo . . . . 115
John Yoo’s March 14, 2003, Torture Memorandum . . . 118
Use of Harsh Interrogation at Guantanamo . . . 120
Migration of Guantanamo Interrogation Techniques to Abu Ghraib . . . 121
Role of High-level Officials . . . 122
The Congress and the President Battle over Interrogation Techniques. . . 123
Destruction of CIA Waterboarding Videotapes . . 127
B. Committee Action . . . 128
Effectiveness of Enhanced Interrogation . . 128
Potential Criminal Liability for Destruction of Videotapes.. . 130
OLC Opinions Concerning Enhanced Interrogation and Potential Legal Liability Thereto . . . 131
III. Extraordinary Rendition, Ghosting and Black Sites . . . 137
A. Factual Background for Legal Memoranda . . . 137
B. Committee Action . . . 142
IV. Warrantless Surveillance . . . 146
A. The Genesis of the Bush Administration’s Warrantless Surveillance Program . . . 146
B. Internal Disagreements as to the Program’s Legality; Disclosure of the Program by The New York Times in December 2005 . . . 148
C. Bush Administration’s Public Statements Concerning Warrantless Surveillance . . . . 153
D. Concerns About Legality and Effectiveness of the President’s Warrantless Surveillance .. . . 156
E. Additional Scrutiny and Legislative Activity in the 110th Congress . . . 161
V. National Security Letters (NSLs) and Exigent Letters . . . . 166
A. The Increased use of NSLs Subsequent to 9/11 and the Enactment of the PATRIOT Act and PATRIOT Reauthorization Act . . . 166
B. March 2007 Justice Department Inspector General Report and Subsequent Committee Hearings . . . . 167
C. March 2008 Justice Department IG “Assessment of Corrective Action” Report and Subsequent Committee Hearings . . . 170
VI. Findings . . . 173
Detention . . . 173
Interrogation . . . . 175
Extraordinary Rendition, Ghosting and Black Sites . . . 176
NSLs and Exigent Letters . . 181

Section 3 – Misuse of Executive Branch Authority . . . 185
I. Presidential Signing Statements . . . 185
A. Historical Background . . 186
B. The Bush Administration’s Use of Signing Statements . . . 187
The McCain Amendment on Treatment of Detainees . . . 188
USA PATRIOT Act . . . 188
Affirmative Action . . . 188
Whistleblower Protections . . . 189
C. Committee Actions . . . 189
II. Rulemaking Process . . . . 191
A. Factual Background . . . 191
B. Executive Control by the Bush Administration .. . . 193
Executive Order 13422: Expanding White House Political Control Over Rulemaking . . . 193
Greater Specificity and Market Analysis Requirements . . . 194
Heightened Scrutiny of Significant Guidance Documents . . . 194
Greater Emphasis on Cost-Benefit Analysis . . . 195
Greater Role for Political Appointees in the Rulemaking Process . . . 196
C. Efforts by OIRA to Control Rulemaking . . . 196
Direct Intervention by the Administration to Control Rulemaking . .. . 197
Using Directives and Other Means to Circumvent Formal Rulemaking. . . . 198
Midnight Rulemaking . . . 199
D. Lack of Transparency . . 201
III. Findings . . . 203
Abuse of Presidential Signing Statements . . . 2034
Rulemaking Process . . . 205

Section 4 – Retribution Against Critics . .. . 208
I. The Leak of Valerie Plame Wilson’s Covert CIA Identity and Its Aftermath . . 208
A. The July 2003 Disclosure by the Press . . . 208
B. The Bush Administration’s Response to the Leak .. . . 209
C. The Libby Indictment and Trial: Evidence of a White House Leak . . 211
D. Mr. Libby’s Conviction, Sentence, and Presidential Grant of Clemency. . . 216
E. Committee Actions . . . 218
The Leak . . . . 218
The White House’s Response to the Leak . . . 219
The President’s Grant of Clemency . . . 221
II. Retaliation Against Other Administration Critics . . . 224
Military Officers – Including Former General Eric Shinseki . . . . 225
Former Treasury Secretary Paul O’Neill and Economic Advisor Lawrence Lindsey .. . . 225
Counter-terrorism Czar Richard Clarke . . . 226
Army Core of Engineers Chief Contracting Office Bunnatine Greenhouse. . . 227
III. Findings . . 228
The Leak of Valerie Plame Wilson’s Covert CIA Identity . . . 228

Section 5 – Government in the Shadows:
Executive Privilege, Secrecy, and the Manipulation of Intelligence . . . 233
I. Executive Privilege . . . 234
A. Formal Assertions of Executive Privilege . . . 234
Pushing the Boundaries Early On . . . 234
FBI’s Valerie Plame Leak Investigation . . . 235
EPA Investigation . . . 236
Investigation Into the U.S. Attorney Firings by the House and Senate Judiciary Committees . . . 238
B. Withholding Documents or Testimony Without Formally Asserting Executive Privilege . . . 242
II. Improper Use of State Secrets and Other Authorities . . . . 245
A. Abuse of State Secrets . . . . 245
Extraordinary rendition . . . . 245
Warrantless Wiretapping Program . . . 246
Employee lawsuits . . . 247
B. Abuse of Other Authorities . .. 248
Classification . . . 2485
FOIA Requests . . 251
Presidential Records Act . . . . 252
Vice President’s Office . . . 253
III. Manipulation and Misuse of Intelligence . . . . 253
IV. Findings . .. . . 263
Expansion of Executive Privilege . . 263
State Secrets Privilege . . . 264
Abuse of Classification and Other Authorities . . . 265
Manipulation and Misuse of Intelligence . . . 266

Section 6 – Policy Recommendations . . . 270
General . . 270

1. The Congress and the Judiciary Committee should pursue document and witness
requests pending at the end of the 110th Congress, including subpoenas, and the
incoming Administration should cooperate with those requests. . . . . 270

2. Congress should establish a Blue Ribbon Commission or similar panel to investigate the broad range of policies of the Bush Administration that were undertaken under claims of unreviewable war powers, including detention, enhanced interrogation, ghosting and black sites, extraordinary rendition, and warrantless domestic surveillance. .. . 271

3. The Attorney General should appoint a Special Counsel, or expand the scope of the present investigation into CIA tape destruction, to determine whether there were criminal violations committed pursuant to Bush Administration policies that were undertaken under unreviewable war powers, including enhanced interrogation, extraordinary rendition, and warrantless domestic surveillance. . 271
Politicization of the Department of Justice . . . 272

4. The incoming Administration should review and consider strengthening the policy limiting contacts concerning prosecution and enforcement matters. . . 272

5. The incoming Administration should continue the customary practice of replacing U.S. Attorneys at the outset of the Administration. . . . 273

6. Congress should expand Justice Department Inspector General jurisdiction. . . 273

7. The incoming Administration should improve the Executive Office of Immigration Review (EOIR) and the functioning of the immigration courts. . . 274

8. The Department of Justice should rescind the policy prohibiting career voting section employees from making recommendations as to whether the Department should object to proposed voting changes. . . . 274

9. The Department of Justice should revise the Federal Prosecution of Election Offenses Manual. . . . 2746

10. Congress should enact comprehensive election reform legislation. .. . 275
Assault on Individual Liberty: Detention, Enhanced Interrogation, Ghosting and Black Sites, Extraordinary Rendition, Warrantless Domestic Surveillance, and National Security and Exigent Letters . . . 276

11. The Department of Justice should reform its Office of Legal Counsel. . . 276

12. The incoming Administration should close the U.S. prison at Guantanamo Bay. . . 277

13. The incoming Administration should require that all persons arrested in the United States be subject to civilian law enforcement procedures with requisite due process guarantees. . . . 278

14. The incoming Administration should end torture and abuse. . . 278

15. The incoming Administration should end the CIA program of secret detention and abusive interrogation. . . 279

16. The incoming Administration should end the Bush Administration’s practice of the extraordinary rendition of terror suspects. . . . . . 280

17. The President, the Director of National Intelligence, the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, and the Director of the National Security Agency should implement policies to ensure that there is no “reverse targeting” used under authorities created by the FISA Amendments Act of 2008. . . 281

18. The President, the Director of National Intelligence, the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, and the Director of the National Security Agency should
implement policies to ensure that foreign intelligence surveillance is limited to
targeted collection. . . 281

19. The incoming Administration should ensure full implementation of Inspector General recommendations concerning the FBI’s use of NSLs. . . 282

20. The incoming Administration should withdraw the proposed Justice Department rule on criminal intelligence system operating policies and carefully review and revise as needed the Attorney General’s guidelines for FBI operations. . 283

21. The President should nominate and bring into operation the Privacy and Civil Liberties Oversight Board. . . . 283

22. The President should renew efforts to implement U.S. obligations under human rights treaties. .. . . 284

23. The incoming Administration should review and consider modifications to Bureau of Prisons use of authority under Special Administrative Measures. .. . 284

Misuse of Executive Branch Authority . . . . 285

24. The President should end abuse of presidential signing statements. . . . 285

25. The incoming Administration should restore rulemaking from the White House to
traditional agency authority consistent with congressional intent and the public interest. . . 2857

26. The incoming Administration should make rulemaking more transparent, understandable, and informative, thereby permitting greater accountability to Congress and the public. . . . 285

27. The incoming Administration should rein in “Midnight” rulemaking, which implements the priorities of a lame-duck administration even though a new President has been elected. . 286

Other Incursions by the Executive Branch . . . . 287

28. The incoming Administration and Congress should restore the full protection of the attorney-client privilege. . . . 287

29. Congress should enact press shield legislation. . . 287

30. The incoming Administration should limit the ability of Executive Branch officials to prevent victims of terrorism from recovering for their losses. . . 288

31. Congress should pass legislation holding Administration-designated contractors in Iraq and elsewhere responsible for their criminal misconduct. . . 289

32. The Department of Justice should issue guidelines to require transparency and uniformity of corporate deferred and non-prosecution agreements. . . . 289

Retribution Against Critics . . . 290

33. Congress should consider legislation concerning the exercise of clemency involving government officials. . . . 290

34. Congress should enhance and strengthen protection for Executive-Branch whistleblowers. . . 291

Government in the Shadows: Executive Privilege, Secrecy, and the Manipulation of Intelligence . . . . 291

35. Congress should enact changes in statutes and rules to strengthen Congress’ contempt power. . . 291

36. The incoming Administration should establish procedures for asserting Executive Privilege. . . 292

37. The incoming Administration and Congress should prevent abusive assertion of the state secrets privilege. . . . . 293

38. The incoming Administration and Congress should improve the system for classification and declassification. . . 293

39. Congress should consider legislation requiring the President to publicly announce the declassification of classified materials. . . . 294

41. The President should rescind Bush White House memoranda that significantly restrict the use and disclosure of non-classified information. . . 295

42. The President should place the Office of FOIA Ombudsperson in the National Archives. . . . . 2968

43. The incoming Administration should restore the accessibility of presidential records. . . . . 296

44. Congress should modernize the Presidential Records Act. . . 296

45. The incoming Administration should clarify the applicability of rules of access to the Office of the Vice President. . . . 297

46. The incoming Administration should eliminate overly restrictive “Gang of 8″ briefings in favor of more effective mechanisms. . . 297

47. The incoming Administration mandate steps to avoid manipulation and misuse of intelligence. . . 298

Endnotes . . . 300

.

.

.
I am Jon. You can read the full text HERE.

Image 14

When The Government Is The Felon

OAKLAND, CA - JANUARY 07:  Protestors wear sig...Image by Getty Images via DaylifeKarl Denninger

If you don’t read Karl Denninger, you are missing out. He writes in a no-nonsense way that everyone can understand. Yesterday he published a piece, the subject of which has been on my mind for awhile.

What do you do when the government is ‘the bad guys’?

Here it is, emphasis and links carried over from the original.

Quick Observation – Law And Order

Last night apparently Oakland CA was the scene of an ugly mob that decided to try a little rioting.

For those who don’t read the news, the underlying reason for the crowd assembling in the first place is that a man was recently shot, apparently in the back, by a BART cop.

It doesn’t matter where you are – shooting a man in the back isn’t going to fly, especially when the victim is unarmed; you have to expect the reaction will be, well, negative. Especially when you’ve already got him on the ground, on his face, he’s outnumbered 4 or 5:1 by police officers. (Video is here: http://www.ktvu.com/video/18409133/index.html)

There is an investigation in process, of course, but the people have seen enough on the news and elsewhere and have come to the conclusion that this was murder, and they’re not getting what they believe would be satisfaction (that is, the cop involved being arrested for the alleged offense.)

Anyway, the point here is that when the people conclude that the government is the felon, not the enforcer of law and order, you are dangerously close to full-scale rioting.

Even the ancient Greeks understood this.

It appears we do not.

Why am I bring this up in the context of the markets? Because as I noted in the morning’s Ticker, we seem to have a lot of lawlessness going on in the financial markets and it is rather clear that the government has been and is at least willfully blind if not outright complicit in the scams.

Madoff, who it seems every brokerage on the street, including Goldman, which at the time was headed by our current Treasury Secretary, knew there was something hinky going on, but when Paulson went to Treasury he did NOTHING to figure out what was going on and stop it.

On top of blatant thievery we have banks that have tripled their “rake” off mortgages over the last three or four months, using the “financial crisis” as a means of screwing consumers who already got raped by these very same financial institutions with their crazy “Option ARMs”.

And now as Mr. Mortgage has documented, we are starting to see documentary evidence of even bigger abuses in the “refinance” space.

Our government needs to put a stop to this crap, and do it now, before a significant percentage of the population comes to the conclusion that The Government is the Felon and is actively conspiring with financial fraudsters to rob the citizens.

Mark my words – if they fail to do so immediately the violence in Oakland last night is almost certain to be just a sneak preview of what will be coming to a city near you.

I am Jon. Go read more from Karl.

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Dec Total Unemployment Tops 13%

The Thin Blue (And Red) Line

Interesting graphic showing the ‘nominal’ rate (that’s the figure the that gets the most media coverage) plotted against the ‘Total’ rate (which is self-explanatory). Read the blue line on the left side and the red line on the right side.

Thanks to Barry at The Big Picture for passing this along.

A Slice Of The Pie

How much is 13%, anyway. What would that look like?

Take a pie. Cut it the way you normally do, by halving it 4 times. Now eat a piece.

That’s how many folks can’t find enough, or any, work. One in every 8 working-aged Americans.

You may as well go ahead and eat another piece of that pie. Before this is all over that number will most likely double, so go ahead and take out another piece.

Now, look at that pie. One quarter of it’s gone. At least that many folks are going to be hurting for a job. That’s 1 out of every 4 Americans. And the stuff that The Obama is talking about won’t do a thing to help it.

So look around. Who’s next?

I am Jon. Do your homework.

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Denninger’s Take on 2009

From Karl Denninger, over at the Market-Ticker.

You really should watch the video. It’s 9 and a half minutes of information you can use.

Below is an excerpt from Denninger’s blog (link above), predictions for 2009. For 2008, out of 16 he only missed 2. This is well worth a deliberate read.

* The economy will not recover in 2009. Job loss will continue through the year and unemployment will reach 8% in the “headline” statistic by the end of the year. U-6 (broad unemployment, or the closest to “real” unemployment without government “cooking”) will top 15%. All the “talking heads” are predicting a turnaround in the second half of 2009. They will be wrong. Look at their records for 2008 – all of them were predicting closes at or above 1500 for the S&P 500. Why does CNBC continue to put people on the air who, if you listened to them, cost you 40% or more of your money?

* Deflation, not inflation, will become evident well beyond housing. Other capital goods beyond housing will see real price declines for the first time since the 1930s. Debt is inherently deflationary; the “hyperinflationists” will once again be shown to be wrong (how many years running will it be now?)

* Housing prices will continue to decline. I believe we’re about halfway done with the price correction. Those who think we will turn this in 2009 are wrong – unless we get an all-on collapse in prices in early 2009, which I do not believe will occur. I’ve heard several claims we will have positive year-over-year home price changes in 2009. I’ll take the other side of that bet.

* The Fed’s attempt to “pump liquidity” will be shown to be an abject failure. We will see either a Treasury Market selloff or worse, severe instability in the dollar at some point in 2009.

* GDP will post a 12-month negative number and there is a decent shot that we will actually see an official depression print before the end of 2009, defined as a 10% decline peak-to-trough.

* The Stock Market has not bottomed although you may think it has for a few months. The annual range will be quite extreme; I would not be surprised at all to see 1,000 touched on the SPX in the first part of the year. I believe the SPX will at least touch 500 in the next 12-24 months and the current bottom will not hold. It is possible that we could see a crash to SPX 300 and DOW 3,000 some time this year, probably after the spring (when the “Obama Halo” wears off – if it isn’t blown off by economic events first.) Yes, this means I am predicting a fifty percent swing in the SPX in 2009. Lots of money to be made as a trader if you’re quick and good, but an absolute minefield if you’re a long-term investor.

* Precious metals will not be a safe haven. The callers for $1600 and above on gold will be wrong, unless there is a major military conflict. I do not rate that probability as particularly high, but it is an event (along with a major terrorism incident – nuclear or biochemical – that would cause a rocket shot in Gold prices), so I am hedging that call. The risk of this sort of “response” to the economic crisis is, however, real, and will rise significantly going into 2010 and beyond. We’ll revisit this one (a major war) next year.

* The Dollar will not collapse. This is not because we’re in great shape or will truly recover, it is because the rest of the world is in worse shape than we are. Last year pundits were all calling for the dollar to collapse to 40 – it didn’t happen. Now they’re calling the dollar’s strength a “Bear market rally.” Nonsense; the simple truth is that while we’re in bad shape the rest of the world is literally on the precipice of a full-on collapse. European banks are more-levered and less-transparent than our banks as just one example.

* The pound or euro – and perhaps both – will likely be where the FX dislocation initiates if it occurs. I see the potential for the pound and euro to both reach par with the dollar, although I’m not going to go that far out on the tree limb and predict it – yet. Needless to say that would rocket the Dollar Index but it won’t be our strength that does it – it will be their weakness.

* The US Consumer will go from a negative savings rate to a seriously-positive one. I am predicting 4% in 2009 but it could go as high as 10%. The math on this is simple – the “consumerist legion of more” has run its course and all that’s left is debt. It hurts and bad; expecting the American Consumer to cut off his other arm is just plain dumb. By the way this is a good thing in the longer term for America once the excess debt is forced out and defaulted through the system.

* Commercial Real Estate will effectively collapse and most commercial Real Estate REITs will be either insolvent or limping on life support. There will be calls for bailouts (which may be attempted; the calls are already starting to be heard) but it won’t matter – a failed business is a failed business, bailout or no, and overcapacity must go away before sustainable business conditions can return.

* Along with the above, expect 10% of all retail stores to close, and that number could go as high as 20%. That’s not going to be fun; there will be hundreds of malls that wind up literally shuttered across America. Stay away from most retailers and property groups as investments. Firms like SPG and VNO are levitating on the strength of their dividends (7-10% yields at present); I believe this is a sucker play; if retailer defaults force dividend cuts (and I believe they will) the commercial REITs will go straight into the toilet.

* Several states will get in serious financial trouble and outright default of one or more is possible in 2009. California leads this parade. But even if there is a default on a state basis, the effect will be highly localized, as county and municipal governments vary in their wisdom and budget process. The real pain comes in state-wide social and educational programs. Be very careful if you are in municipal bonds or thinking of getting back into them (I recommended they be dumped in 2007 – look at what has happened to the closed-end funds in 08! Aieeee!) as the default risk is VERY REAL. If you’re buying individual issues and do the work to determine not only the risk of default but also the likely recovery if they do default there are some good deals out there – but only if you’re doing the work. “Trust me” (as in buying funds, whether mutual funds or closed-end stuff) is very dangerous.

* Mortgages are not done. The story last year was “Subprime.” This year’s will be “ALT-A”, “Option ARMs” and so-called “Prime”. The Fed and Treasury know this, which is why they are playing games with “agency” debt in a desperate attempt to clear this market before the ticking nuclear devices go off. The amount of debt involved in these “bad deals” is vastly higher than that in the “subprime” space and if they fail to contain it (a near certainty) Round #2 of severe bank instability gets served up on us in the second half of 2009.

* If you want to refinance a mortgage you may get one brief shot at it with long rates around 4%. You’re nuts to buy outright unless you intend to die in the home, but if you have a solid reason to be obtaining a mortgage or wish to refinance you will probably get the opportunity. This assumes the “buydown game” gets going before Treasuries dislocate; if you get the opportunity take it as it is likely to be fleeting. The few places in this country where homes wind up selling for 2.5x incomes (on average) and you have an opportunity to finance at 4% and change will be decent buying opportunities – if you’re sure you can cash flow the note (e.g. your job and/or income stream is not in any danger of collapsing.)

* Those who have said that the corporate bond market is being “unreasonable” in its expectation for defaults will start to look like the jackasses they are. Actual default rates (not projections) on non-investment-grade debt will skyrocket starting in 2009 and there will be no sign of it turning around this year. If you’re playing in this area of the market thinking that “the worst is behind us”, I hope you like walking around bald as the haircuts handed out to folks like you will be especially severe and delivered with a straight razor.

* The calls for “more lending” to consumers and businesses will go exactly nowhere. The problem isn’t credit availability – there’s plenty of money available to lend if you are credit-worthy. Those who are being turned down now simply aren’t credit-worthy when one looks at what they want to do with the money and what they’re backing their repayment capacity with. The more “credit stimulus” is thrown into the economy (and there will be more) the worse the downturn will get.

* General Motors and Chrysler will fail to meet their targets and it will be labor that sinks the deal. At least one and probably both will wind up in some form of bankruptcy in 2009. The UAW is insane; Gettlefinger needs to be strung up by his genitals and pelted with rotten tomatoes by his union “brothers”, and if they had a lick of sense they’d have already done it. They obviously don’t. I give this mess six months tops, with Ford as the only possible survivor. The recent GMAC games show exactly how desperate they are; 0% 5 year loans to people with 620 FICO scores are flat-out insane and the default rates on those loans are going to wind up in economics textbooks five years hence.

* Protectionism and currency manipulation will rear their ugly heads in 2009, originating not here but in Asia as their economies go straight into the toilet. China and Japan are at severe risk here.

* Commodities will appear to be headed for a new bull market but this will turn out to be a false hope as demand continues to collapse. Attempts to manage oil output to prop up the price will fail. Several oil-producing nations will find themselves in serious economic trouble, with Russia being in the lead but by no means alone.

* Sovereign debt defaults will number at least three with many other nations on “watch” for same; we had one last year (Iceland.) Noise about a US “AAA” downgrade will continue. Highest on the list for probables are Russia, which needs oil at roughly double its current price – and stable – to be financially viable. Not going to happen in the near term.

* China will have its first large-scale rumbling of civil unrest as a consequence of collapsing export demand and thus employment. They’ll manage to tamp it down – this year. Don’t take a bet on that holding together longer-term. Those who think China will be “ok” are deluded; they have a horrifying overcapacity problem (debt-financed, of course) and there is no way for them to get out of it. They are truly going to “take it in both holes” down the road, but the worst of it won’t be in 2009 – that is still a year or two in the future.

* Foreign uptake of Treasuries will be choked off – by necessity. It won’t be because they want to screw the US (although they should have a long time ago, given our profligate and unsustainable habits), it will be because they will be forced to redirect their resources inward as their own economies collapse.

* “The City” (London to be precise, Britain generally) will be recognized as getting it “worse than we are” (in America.) This will be the first of many validations of my thesis “we’re screwed, they’re gang-raped.”

* Things will get “revolting” in a number of nations. Not here in America. Yet. If we’re lucky the American Sheep will wake up and stage some of that peaceful protest stuff I outlined above. If we’re not so fortunate 2010 could be really bad.

I am Jon. Happy New Year.

2009 – The End Of The Oughts

Universe ZeroImage by kevindooley via Flickr
Crystal Ball

Every year around this time folks all over the world are gobbling up predictions like they were funnel cake at the county fair. I usually stay away from that sort of thing but this year have been been convinced by a few readers to publish what I think is going to happen next year.

Having little experience in this stuff, I immediately went to my long-ago packed-away crystal ball (left over from a divorce from a woman who simply KNEW she was a witch. She wasn’t, which is the reason I guess, that the crystal ball is still with me.)

Seriously, she was not a witch.

Upper right you’ll see a picture of my crystal ball (the way it would look to me if I really had one). Just a glance will give you about as much information as a careful study of the thing. Bleh – so much for crystal balls. (Maybe a real witch would have left me with a crystal ball that worked?)

So, having looked into tea leaves, coffee grounds, walked hallowed grounds, thrown bones and sticks and then listening to some Styx, I decided to try my hand at simple precognition. Into the trance I go:

ObamaRama

Obama’s stimulus package is just more of the same. It will be cheered on, all around the world as we all hopelessly cry out for a savior from our own self induced economic crisis. Like a street addict we beg for more, we promise to do better, and when we get our hands on the fix, we inject the needle deeply. It doesn’t cure us, but it does let us believe that things are better now, and the worst has passed.

Except it hasn’t passed. After the nice Obama bump in the 1st quarter, rumblings are felt again in the financial sectors as credit card and auto loan debt begins to falter. It seems that folks have been using those plastic things to pay for their mortgages, as well as their food. The recent flood of Christmas shopping is revealed to have all been done on credit, and after April or May, with credit cards maxed out, folks have to decide whether to default on their homes, their cars, their groceries or their cards. The cards will be the first to go, followed by the cars and some groceries.

About the same time, the mortgage industry will begin to show new signs of weakness. There will be more to worry about than just the default rates on prime and jumbo-primes. Commercial real estate will falter and in some places simply fail altogether. Construction will, for all intents and purposes, dry up and blow away across most of the nation.

In the midst of all this springtime rain comes a drought of promises from the government. We will be told that the stimulus is indeed working for millions of Americans. We will all wonder who those millions are, and where they live – ’cause they sure as hell don’t live near us. More empty cash will be poured out upon us, and it will disappear like Gandalf into a fiery pit. (But like Gandalf, it will be back later in the story.)

From Fiery Pits To Black Holes

The CERN LHC will go online as scheduled. This time everything works exactly as they expected, and the experiments are begun. The whole world watches, half-expecting to suddenly find themselves being eaten by a growing black hole. The math works, however, and the 1st results from the LHC prove that Hawking radiation indeed does exist. The black holes are being formed and dissipating at a rate of about 10,000 each minute, none of them growing to any dangerous size.

The world cheers. Hawking releases a statement warning of cumulative effects of quantum gravity on celestial objects.

Some people scratch their craniums and wonder what he means.

War Of Agreement

Behind the scenes, the world’s first ‘war of agreement’ will be planned, as an extreme option. The war of agreement will be between two nations with a long history of flagrant opposition, but will actually be an attempt to stimulate each of the two nations’ economies.

While the leaders of each nation say they hope they never have to use this option, secretly they plan to anyway in most of their future scenarios. The plan may grow to include more than just the original countries, and in fact become the world’s 1st scheduled global war.

We will be told that the government will do ‘whatever it takes’ to keep us in jobs, to keep ‘main street’ moving. We will continue to see the very ones who created this mess profit from it at our expense, just like in 2008.

By mid-year, there will have been at least one violent incident that gets national attention, perhaps the burning of a prominent banker’s private residence. Sometime by mid-July, the National Guard will be called out in at least one state, or in the district itself, due to riots or demonstrations.

Unemployment will reach a very real rate of around 30%. The government will report it to be much lower, perhaps as high as 13%. This kind of newspeak is going to eventually be the cause of social unrest in the US. Similar events will play out in most European nations.

And even then, we won’t realize what we’re in for.

Trying to pull the nation together (perhaps not missing the point that the Nation Is together, albeit against them) the government will try to focus our anger on those outside America. Similar strategies will be adopted worldwide, as they have historically always been done.

All the while talking about mutual support and cooperation, each nation will be busy behind the scenes, setting up their version of protectionist actions. Without the actions, there is nothing to point at and say to your nation, ‘See! Here we have engaged the culprit!’

As these actions are taken, the War of Agreement will be quietly staged, with heads of state setting up guidelines for profit, strategies for management so that every participating nation should prosper. The goal in this war will not be to conquer, but instead to keep the current economy intact, ie., the current management team in power.

But that war will not come in 2009. It may never happen. But the stage will be set for it, and that will demand that actions be taken to draw the lines, so to speak. Already, there are several countries around the world manipulating their currencies to position themselves.

So the actions will come, the bigger ones sometime in the last half of the year. I do not know what those actions might be. They could come in the form of tariffs, embargoes, piracy – the list could go on forever. Some fool could even order a real military attack.

All In All, And In The End

The horrible year upon us will not destroy us. Many of us will see our lives change in an instant. Some lucky of us will notice very little difference and the gifted will continue being gifted. We will have things to be thankful for on Thanksgiving. We will smile at least once on Christmas.

This past year has been incredibly hard for some of us. We’ve lost so much, we feel, and we really don’t understand it all. Here’s a secret: That’s a good way to feel, right about now.

Truth is, we have no idea what the future holds. After all the study, all the reading and discussing, after riding this wave for as long as we have, all we have in the end is our best guess. Our gut feeling.

I am Jon, and what do I know?

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Do The Exact Right Thing At All Possible Times

“Bernoulli’s Gift”

Expected Value = (Odds of Gain) X (Value of Gain)

This is, generally speaking, a pretty good way to make decisions. It doesn’t just apply to money, it can apply to everything in our lives. It probably does, whether we know it or not. Plus it has the added quality of being easy.

Or does it? If it’s so easy, why do we have such trouble making the right decision? Why is it so difficult for us, individually and as a national and global Whole, to do the right thing?

Dan Gilbert does a great job discussing that problem. The video is about 23 minutes, with a Q&A session lasting about 10 minutes at the end. I’m betting if you sit through the 1st part, you will definitely want to check out the Q&A at the end. It’s a holiday – you’ve got time…

http://www.ted.com/index.php/talks/dan_gilbert_researches_happiness.html

OOPS! The embedded video stopped working. Click the link above for a great presentation.

I’m going to watch this again, I think.

I mean, seriously – this is an awesome video.

Thanks to Barry at The Big Picture.

I hope everyone’s holiday is going well.

I am Jon, sitting right beneath the weather.

Upgrade To Firefox 3

Mozilla FirefoxImage via Wikipedia

Even Great Browsers Need Updating

Mozilla recently released 2 new updates for Firefox, 2.0.0.19 and 3.0.5.

Wordout recommends that if you regularly use Firefox, you should go ahead and get the upgrade to the ‘3’ version. The reason is simple – phishing protection will only be available for the ‘3’ version in the future.

From the Mozilla site:

Mozilla is not planning any further security & stability updates for Firefox 2, and recommends that you upgrade to Firefox 3 as soon as possible. It’s free, and your settings and bookmarks will be preserved.

Also, the Phishing Protection service will no longer be available for Firefox 2 users. Firefox 3 offers a free Phishing and Malware Protection service, which will continue to protect you from online scams and attacks.

If you already have Firefox 3 or Firefox 2, you will receive an automated update notification within 24 to 48 hours. This update can also be applied manually by selecting “Check for Updates…” from the Help menu.

You can pick up the latest version by clicking HERE. After the installation, Firefox will check for and update your add-ons. The procedure is painless and quick, so go do it now.

I am Jon, and I use Firefox 3.

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Creative Juices

The Future Of Advertising

“There’s alot of people pontificatin’ about the future of advertisin’ and TV and all that sort of thing, but I say you can’t go wrong with a good idea.”

From RubberRepublic, contributed via TouTube:

‘Behind the scenes tour of of an award-winning creative farm, juicing process and distribution in South West England.

The South West produces some of the UK’s finest creative work (animation, web design, design, fashion, architecture….) Now you know why….nice conditions, space to breathe and opportunities with some of the best firms around.’

heh heh… I especially like the quote:

‘No! Don’t bloody drink it! Crise, it’d blow your bloody head off, that would!’

Thanks to Paul Isakson for pointing us in this general direction.

I am Jon, just brimming with creative juices.

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Oh Crap – Arctic Methane Confirmed

Arctic regionImage via Wikipedia
Climate Progress

From the University of Alaska, Fairbanks:

‘A team led by International Arctic Research Center scientist Igor Semiletov has found data to suggest that the carbon pool beneath the Arctic Ocean is leaking.

The results of more than 1,000 measurements of dissolved methane in the surface water from the East Siberian Arctic Shelf this summer as part of the International Siberian Shelf Study show an increased level of methane in the area. Geophysical measurements showed methane bubbles coming out of chimneys on the seafloor.

“The concentrations of the methane were the highest ever measured in the summertime in the Arctic Ocean,” Semiletov said. “We have found methane bubble clouds above the gas-charged sediment and above the chimneys going through the sediment.”

The new data indicates the underwater permafrost is thawing and therefore releasing methane. Permafrost can affect methane release in two ways. Both underwater and on land, it contains frozen organic material such as dead plants and animals. When permafrost thaws, that organic material decomposes, releasing gases like methane and carbon dioxide. In addition, methane, either in gas form or in ice-like methane hydrates, is trapped underneath the permafrost. When the permafrost thaws, the trapped methane can seep out through the thawed soil. Methane, a greenhouse gas 20 times more powerful than carbon dioxide, is thought to be an important factor in global climate change.

The East Siberian Arctic Shelf is a relatively shallow continental shelf that stretches more than 900 miles into the Arctic Ocean from Siberia. The area is a year-round source of methane to the globe’s atmosphere. However, until recently, scientists believed that much of the area’s carbon pool was safely insulated by underwater permafrost, which is, on average, 11 degrees Celcius warmer than surface permafrost.’

Arctic region

From ClimateProgress:

These observations are extremely worrisome for four reasons. First, many fear that a huge methane release is what happened during the Permian-Triassic extinction event and the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum. Second, releasing even a small fraction of the sub-sea methane would make a stabilizing greenhouse gas emissions at non-catastrophic concentrations all but impossible.

Third, as NOAA reported earlier this year, levels of methane rose sharply last year for the first time since 1998…

Fourth, the findings are apparently based on very new and credible in situ measurements: “Semiletov said this year’s expeditions used both chemical and geophysical measurement techniques, a first in the area.”

From the original announcement published in the the online British journal, TheIndependent:

The first evidence that millions of tons of a greenhouse gas 20 times more potent than carbon dioxide is being released into the atmosphere from beneath the Arctic seabed has been discovered by scientists.

The Independent has been passed details of preliminary findings suggesting that massive deposits of sub-sea methane are bubbling to the surface as the Arctic region becomes warmer and its ice retreats.

Underground stores of methane are important because scientists believe their sudden release has in the past been responsible for rapid increases in global temperatures, dramatic changes to the climate, and even the mass extinction of species. Scientists aboard a research ship that has sailed the entire length of Russia’s northern coast have discovered intense concentrations of methane – sometimes at up to 100 times background levels – over several areas covering thousands of square miles of the Siberian continental shelf.

In the past few days, the researchers have seen areas of sea foaming with gas bubbling up through “methane chimneys” rising from the sea floor. They believe that the sub-sea layer of permafrost, which has acted like a “lid” to prevent the gas from escaping, has melted away to allow methane to rise from underground deposits formed before the last ice age.

The amount of methane stored beneath the Arctic is calculated to be greater than the total amount of carbon locked up in global coal reserves so there is intense interest in the stability of these deposits as the region warms at a faster rate than other places on earth.(ed: more than 7 degrees F in the past several decades.)

Orjan Gustafsson of Stockholm University in Sweden, one of the leaders of the expedition, described the scale of the methane emissions in an email exchange sent from the Russian research ship Jacob Smirnitskyi.

“We had a hectic finishing of the sampling programme yesterday and this past night,” said Dr Gustafsson. “An extensive area of intense methane release was found. At earlier sites we had found elevated levels of dissolved methane. Yesterday, for the first time, we documented a field where the release was so intense that the methane did not have time to dissolve into the seawater but was rising as methane bubbles to the sea surface. These ‘methane chimneys’ were documented on echo sounder and with seismic [instruments].”

At some locations, methane concentrations reached 100 times background levels. These anomalies have been seen in the East Siberian Sea and the Laptev Sea, covering several tens of thousands of square kilometres, amounting to millions of tons of methane, said Dr Gustafsson. “This may be of the same magnitude as presently estimated from the global ocean,” he said. “Nobody knows how many more such areas exist on the extensive East Siberian continental shelves.

“The conventional thought has been that the permafrost ‘lid’ on the sub-sea sediments on the Siberian shelf should cap and hold the massive reservoirs of shallow methane deposits in place. The growing evidence for release of methane in this inaccessible region may suggest that the permafrost lid is starting to get perforated and thus leak methane… The permafrost now has small holes. We have found elevated levels of methane above the water surface and even more in the water just below. It is obvious that the source is the seabed.”

Arctic region

and a related story from TheIndependent:

The rapid rise in greenhouse gases over the past century is unprecedented in at least 800,000 years, according to a study of the oldest Antarctic ice core which highlights the reality of climate change.

Air bubbles trapped in ice for hundreds of thousands of years have revealed that humans are changing the composition of the atmosphere in a manner that has no known natural parallel.

Scientists at the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) in Cambridge have found there have been eight cycles of atmospheric change in the past 800,000 years when carbon dioxide and methane have risen to peak levels.

Each time, the world also experienced the relatively high temperatures associated with warm, inter-glacial periods, which were almost certainly linked with levels of carbon dioxide and possibly methane in the atmosphere.

However, existing levels of carbon dioxide and methane are far higher than anything seen during these earlier warm periods, said Eric Wolff of the BAS.

“Ice cores reveal the Earth’s natural climate rhythm over the last 800,000 years. When carbon dioxide changed there was always an accompanying climate change,” Dr Wolff said. “Over the past 200 years, human activity has increased carbon dioxide to well outside the natural range and we have no analogue for what will happen next.

I usually don’t quote me but here it is anyway, from the post titled ‘Arctic Methane’:

Remember a few months ago Wordout reported that scientists had discovered evidence in ice cores which showed that in the past, drastic changes in climate have occurred in as little as one or two years? One of the tipping points appears to be the release of massive amounts of methane into the atmosphere.

This year is the 1st in the history of Man that the arctic sea ice has melted enough to open shipping routes through the Arctic ocean.

We all need to wake up to the real catastrophe brewing right under our noses. If you think the financial meltdown is bad, just wait ’til the climate meltdown gets your undivided attention.

I am Jon. Time to wake up and smell the methane, folks.

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Wake Up, Freak Out – Then Get A Grip

Tipping Points

Watch this really well-made and insightful video for a great explanation of what we’re really up against when it comes to Climate Change. Click the arrows to go full screen.


Wake Up, Freak Out – then Get a Grip from Leo Murray on Vimeo.

What Is The Sound Of No Hands Clapping?

This isn’t just about the polar bears any more… as a matter of fact, it never really was.

It’s about our survival.

The earth will be here, regardless of what we do.

The question is this: If the earth is still here, does it really matter to any of us if we aren’t here to enjoy it?

I am Jon. Get a grip.

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Thanks to Worldchanging… see for yourself. Click the link and go there.

Doctor Who? Doctor Chu!

Dr. :en:Steven Chu giving a seminar at the :en...Image via Gustavus.edu

Box? What Box?

Nobel laureate Steven Chu is reported to be the new administration’s choice to head up the Department of Energy.

Chu’s original expertise lies in the area of experimental quantum physics. His Nobel award in 1997 was for using a novel way to stop atoms from moving, so that they could be studied in detail. What was so unique that it deserved a Nobel prize?

He used lasers, the very tools most of us think of as burning hot.

Doctor Chu’s thoughts have obviously never seen the inside of ‘The Box’.

From ThinkProgress:

Chu, a Nobel Prize-winning physicist, is the director of the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory in California where he has been addressing the climate crisis by pushing breakthrough research in energy efficiency, solar energy, and biofuels technology.

Colleagues who know Chu best say “he’s not a manager, he’s a leader.” In an interview with the Wonk Room, David Roland-Holst, an economist at the Center for Energy, Resources and Economic Sustainability at UC Berkeley, described Chu as a “very distinguished researcher” and “an extremely effective manager of cutting edge technology initiatives.”

This past summer, Dr. Chu spoke at the National Clean Energy Summit in Las Vegas, convened by the Center for American Progress, UNLV, and Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV). In one of the lighter moments during his remarks, Chu claimed that efficiency gains and lowered costs have been shown to be possible when the jobs were assigned to engineers, not lobbyists.

The (Mis)Spoken Word

You’ll notice that Dr. Chu, in the video above, says that 3 degrees C is equal to 11 degrees F, which is obviously wrong. Astute observers will notice that the chart dispayed to support his words clearly shows ‘5 degrees’, and not 3 degrees. Using 5C, the math does indeed work out to 11F.

As is common with many folks when speaking publicly, the good doctor simply misspoke. It is OBVIOUS that he should have said ‘5′ instead of ‘3’.

Seems reasonable to me that as a public speaker, Dr. Chu simply misspoke.

I am Jon, and I too, have had problems speaking in public. (Just look through Wordout and it becomes obvious…)

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Urban Agriculture

lettuce (possibly mesclun) at an urban farm, A...Image by ambienttraffic via FlickrUrban Agriculture
Guest Post by Stesha Parrish

Urban agriculture defined in simple terms is the growing, processing, and distribution of food and other products through intensive plant cultivation and animal husbandry in and around cities. (North American Urban Agriculture Committee.) It includes green belts around cities, farming at the urban fringe, vegetable plots in community gardens, and food production in thousands of vacant inner-city lots. Urban agriculture comprises fish farms, farm animals at public housing sites, municipal compost facilities, schoolyard greenhouses and gardens, restaurant-supported salad gardens, backyard orchards, rooftop gardens and beehives, window box gardens, and so much more.

There is a growing consumer demand for fresh, local, and often organic food which in turn creates new markets for urban food production. Many of these efforts specifically address the needs of urban residents who are living in poverty, and consequently experience poor nutrition, hunger, and anxiety about not having enough to eat. The potential for food production in cities is great, and dozens of model projects are demonstrating successfully that urban agriculture is both necessary and viable.

Approximately 80 percent of the United States population lives in urban areas and this is projected to continue to grow. This is an amazing contrast when compared to 100-years ago when 50 percent of Americans lived on subsistence farms or in small rural towns where communities fed themselves with locally grown foods. More food is now shipped from markets outside the United States to feed our citizens than at any other time in history. (Community Food Security Coalition) Food typically travels between 1,500 and 2,500 miles from farm to table, with as much as 25 percent traveling farther than food did in 1980. This distance traveled accounts for nearly 50% of food which is lost to spoilage. (Community Food Security Coalition) This in turn makes most fruit and vegetable varieties chosen to be sold in supermarkets based on their ability to withstand industrial harvesting and extended travel and not for their nutritional quality or taste.

It has been suggested that every community should be able to produce at least a third of the food required by its citizens at any given time in order to prepare for emergencies. At present, less than five percent is being produced. (Mann) If there was a natural disaster resulting in a loss of production within a particular area that held large-scale producers, then our nations food supply would be severely disrupted, resulting in many going hungry. Our food supply became very vulnerable and unpredictable when it left our family farms.

Paradox In The Land Of Plenty

One of the worst paradoxes in agricultural history is due to the current food system structure which results in hunger amongst the plenty of food produced. Thirty-three million people live in households that experience hunger or the risk of hunger. Food insecurity in the United States is represented by people who frequently skip meals or eat too little, sometimes going without food for the entire day. There is an increasing number of Americans who are experiencing food insecurity. (Community Food Security Coalition) As the economy continues to decline and uncertainty grows, so will our food security.

With most of our food traveling such great distances and being produced off of a petroleum based production system, food costs will continue to rise making nutritious, affordable food less available to those already in need. Already many inner-city grocery stores charge higher prices for basic food items and the quality of food is lacking in small neighborhood stores. (Fisher, 1999) This seems to be unproductive in assisting those who need help with those more likely to be on tighter fixed incomes being forced to pay more for their food than their wealthier counterparts.

Food insecurity, in whatever form it may come, affects the quality of life for urban residents in many different ways. Inadequate nutrition and food insecurity can have many adverse effects on an individual and community including more health care costs, sickness, disease, fatigue, higher emotional stress, and increased crime rates within the area affected. Urban agriculture offers aid to those experiencing this. More food security results in more physical and mental health of a community and also less crime and city services that are required within that community.

Urban agriculture can help revitalize a community with beauty and give its citizens a sense of pride and togetherness that it may have been previously lacking. Vacant and abandoned lots litter inner city neighborhoods with run down buildings and overgrown forgotten places that often attract crime. These neighborhood eye-sores can easily become a positive gathering place that brings community members together and benefits all involved. Many cities are transforming these types of lots into community green spaces and community food gardens that create a sense of unity and provide nutrition for those who surround it.

Cities are finding uses for other unused areas as well. Some schools are and hospitals are starting orchards and food gardens where once only turf grass or ornamental plantings where found. The food produced from these are being used to feed the students, patients, being used as a source of education, therapy, and given back to the community. Portions of city parks are being turned into edible and visual delight landscaping. Food is being produced in utility right of ways and many roof tops have been converted into productive spaces for growing food. There are many organizations being formed to promote and encourage cities to make this transition such as New York City’s “Earth Pledge.”

Urban agriculture offers residents local, healthful, accessible, and affordable food in a sustainable and realistic manner. It also offers entrepreneurial opportunities to those who previously thought they had no other option. There is a growing demand for local healthy food across the nation and many are finding a niche within that market. Many times the elderly and refugees have a wealth of knowledge about growing and preserving food that can be utilized in creating income and nutrition for their families.

Making The Difference

Many community and inner-city gardeners combine their produce to sell to restaurants or at farmers markets. Community supported agriculture (CSA) is on the rise and help keep these urban farmers afloat between growing seasons. Food From the ‘Hood (FFTH) was the nation’s first student managed natural food products company that is based out of inner Los Angeles. It has managed to award over $140,000 in scholarships to students and supported itself since 1992. (FFTH) Intensive gardening methods are used in cities to produce yields up to thirteen times greater per acre than their rural counterpart. This utilization of space creates great potential for profit and food security within a particular area and is available to anyone who chooses to attempt it.

Many cities have successfully transitioned into a secure food supply system by using urban agricultural practices. The oil embargo of 1973 forced Cuba start producing its own food and utilize all resources available to feed the nations population. Cuba successfully managed to prevent the starvation of a multitude of inner city inhabitants by people banding together and growing food in even the smallest of areas available. Havana currently still produces one-half of the vegetables consumed by its citizens within the cities farms and gardens. (Cuba Survived)

Singapore has 10,000 urban farmers who produce eighty percent of poultry and twenty-five percent of the vegetables consumed. (Smit, 1996) Fourteen percent of London’s residents grow food gardens providing eighteen percent of their nutritional needs (Garnett, 1999) and forty-four percent of Vancouver’s residents do the same (City Farmer). U.S. counties adjacent to or within metropolitan areas grow seventy-nine percent of the fruit, sixty-eight percent of the vegetables, and fifty-two percent of the dairy products produced in the United States. (Heimlich, 1993) However, few dollars generated by these farms actually remain in the area that produces them. Small urban farmers have the potential to not only provide food security to their communities, but also economic stability with locally owned and operated business keeping money moving within a community.

Urban agriculture offers a variety of ways to help feed a community through schoolyard greenhouses and gardens, restaurant-supported salad gardens, backyard orchards, rooftop gardens and beehives, window box gardens, and many more techniques. These are affordable, realistic, and offers healthy, nutritious, affordable, and accessible food to a community that previously may not of had this option.

Urban Agriculture can stimulate a local economy by offering local organic produce that is already in demand, creating jobs where there once were none and keeping money circulating within the community. Urban agriculture offers a solution to they run down vacant lots scattered throughout cities across America, and turns them into a peaceful social gathering place that unites communities and neighborhoods alike. It can provide food security to families and communities across the nation that once did not have access or could not afford nutritious food for their families. Communities are capable of producing at least half of their dietary needs through roof top gardens, and other alternative areas with intensive growing techniques that offer high yield crops.

It is possible with documented cases such as the major cities of Havana, Cuba, Moscow, Russia, London, England, Vancouver, Canada, and Singapore’s residents all producing a good portion of their food within the city limits themselves. If we learn from these examples and put into practice basic backyard or window box gardening we could eventually end up becoming less dependant on tasteless food that has traveled thousands of miles with inadequate nutrition that took money out of the area it was grown.

This entire concept is un-American and we, as a Nation, need to wake up and remember how important our food is. Teaching our neighbors and our children how to grow their food and increasing the knowledge of where it all comes from will increase the overall health of our nation’s residents and peace of mind.

References

Fisher, A. 1999. Hot Peppers and Parking Lot Peaches : Evaluating Farmer’s Markets in Low-Income Communities. Retrieved November 25, 2008 from http://www.foodsecurity.org/HotPeppersPeaches.pdf

Mann, P. Why Homeland Security Must Include Food Security. World Hunger Year (WHY) Speaks. Retrieved on November 27, 2008 from http://www.worldhungeryear.org/why_speaks/ws_load.asp?file=20&style=ws_table

Food From the ‘Hood (FFTH) homepage www.foodfromthehood.com

Quinn, M. 2006. The Power of Community : Howe Cuba Survived Peak Oil. Permaculture Activist. Retrieved on November 30, 2008 from http://globalpublicmedia.com/articles/657

Smit, J. A. Ratta, and J. Nasr. 1996. Ruban Agriculture : Food, Jobs, and Sustainable Cities. Untied Nations Development Programme. Retrieved on November 30, 2008 from http://www.energyandenvironment.undp.org/undp/indexAction.cfm?module=Library&action=GetFile&DocumentAttachmentID=2388

Garnett, T. 1996. Growing Food in Cities : A report to highlight and promote the benefits of urban agriculture in the UK. Retrieved on November 24, 2008 from http://www.peoplesgrocery.org/brahm/wp-content/uploads/2006/10/growing%20food%20in%20cities.pdf

City Farmer Homepage. 2002. 44% of Vancouver Households Grow Food. Retrieved on November 28, 2008 from http://www.cityfarmer.org/44percent.html

Heimlich, R. and C. Bernanard. 1993. Agricultural Adaptation to Urbanization : Farm Types in the United States Metropolitan Area. Retrieved on November 29, 2008 from http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/28849/1/21010050.pdf

Community Food Security Homepage www.foodsecurity.org

North American Urban Agriculture Committee. 2003. Urban Agriculture and Community Food Security in the United States : Farming from the City Center to the Urban Fringe. A Primer Prepared by the Ciommunity Food Security Coalition’s North American Urban Agriculture Committee. Retrieved on November 30, 2008 from http://www.foodsecurity.org/PrimerCFSCUAC.pdf

Bailkey, M. and J. Nasr. From Brownfields to Greenfields : Producing Food in North American Cities. Community Food Security News. Fall 1999/Winter 2006:6

~~Stesha~~

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